As the 2025 MLB season progresses, identifying two-start pitchers becomes crucial for fantasy baseball success. This week, Max Fried stands out for the Yankees with a stellar 1.05 ERA, making him a must-start. Meanwhile, Michael Wacha’s favorable matchups against the Astros and Cardinals make him a solid play as well.

Shane Baz and Tyler Mahle present more risky options, though they could offer significant upside. In particular, Mahle’s matchup against the Rockies is enticing. The same applies to players like Hayden Wesneski and José Berríos, who are also in decent form but come with some uncertainties.

This week's analysis focuses on five pitchers who are making waves in fantasy baseball as breakout candidates or potential fakes. Max Fried of the New York Yankees has rebounded fantastically, showcasing a 1.05 ERA and excellent strikeout rates, although some regression is expected. Carlos Rodón, also with the Yankees, has shown impressive form after a rough start, with a 2.96 ERA and an uptick in strikeouts over his last few outings.

Kodai Senga of the New York Mets has delivered a strong ERA of 1.16, but underlying metrics suggest this may not be sustainable. Meanwhile, Tyler Mahle of the Texas Rangers has had an unexpected hot start, but a low strikeout rate raises concerns about longevity. Lastly, Logan Webb of the San Francisco Giants has improved his strikeout rate significantly and could be a valuable asset moving forward. Each pitcher's current effectiveness and potential for future success are scrutinized.

In a thrilling extra-inning clash, Devin Williams helped the New York Yankees secure a 4-3 victory over the San Diego Padres. Williams faced a challenging bases-loaded situation in the 10th inning but rose to the occasion, striking out star hitters Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado, before sealing the win with a pivotal strikeout against Xander Bogaerts. This performance not only boosted Williams' confidence but also showcased his potential for an All-Star season. Earlier in the game, Yankees starter Max Fried delivered a solid seven-inning performance, while Cody Bellinger tied the game with a powerful home run off Padres ace Dylan Cease.

Both teams exchanged leads, with the Padres going up 3-1 before Trent Grisham's two-run homer leveled the score again. Yankees manager Aaron Boone praised Williams' newfound control and competitive spirit, suggesting that the pitcher is quickly regaining his form. This game marks a significant turnaround for Williams, who struggled recently but seemed to own the moment in front of a packed Yankee Stadium crowd.

The San Diego Padres (23-12) head to Yankee Stadium to face the New York Yankees (20-16) after the Yankees leveled the series with a dominant 12-3 victory. Aaron Judge continues to shine, hitting his twelfth home run and driving in five runs during last night's game. Max Fried, boasting a stellar 1.01 ERA, is on the mound for the Yankees, while Dylan Cease, with a 5.61 ERA, struggles for the Padres. The odds favor the Yankees at -180 on the moneyline.

Notably, Aaron Judge has now reached base safely in 32 consecutive games, a streak that adds to his fantasy allure. The Padres are 9-8 on the road this season and will need strong performances from their hitters to support Cease. With the total runs set at 8, betting on the over seems promising given the Yankees’ recent offensive display.